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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

成交量 $75.5M · 流动性 $373.2K · 2027年1月1日 截止

  • 19%概率
  • 82%概率

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

是

18.5¢