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Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol · $116.4K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027

  • 4%chance
  • 96%chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Yes

3.6¢