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Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$482.1K Vol · $51.1K Liq · Ends Oct 20, 2026

  • 2%chance
  • 98%chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Yes

2.5¢