OddsDesk

Pro desk for Polymarket

Geopolitics prediction markets

Prediction markets on conflicts, ceasefires, treaties and relations between countries.

Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
+16 more markets
$54.6M Vol · 19 mkts · Ends Oct 28, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
+5 more markets
$26.9M Vol · 8 mkts · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$16M Vol · $151.2K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
+3 more markets
$39.3M Vol · 6 mkts · Ends Dec 31, 2026
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
$2.5M Vol · 2 mkts · Ends Oct 31, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
+1 more markets
$42.8M Vol · 4 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$75.5M Vol · $373.2K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
+13 more markets
$98.9M Vol · 16 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$15.6M Vol · $734.2K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
$3.4M Vol · $260.1K Liq · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?
$10.7M Vol · 2 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$30.6M Vol · 2 mkts · Ends Jul 1, 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
+1 more markets
$12.5M Vol · 4 mkts · Ends Jan 3, 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$45M Vol · $437.9K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
$390.7K Vol · $30.5K Liq · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
$275.6K Vol · 2 mkts · Ends Nov 30, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
+1 more markets
$8.6M Vol · 4 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
$2.1M Vol · 3 mkts · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Next leader out of power before 2027?
+19 more markets
$1.6M Vol · 22 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$76.7M Vol · 2 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
+14 more markets
$234K Vol · 17 mkts · Ends Apr 1, 2028
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
$1.2M Vol · $125.1K Liq · Ends Nov 4, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$747.4K Vol · $74.6K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Trump out as President before 2027?
$13.2M Vol · $289.1K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
$4.5M Vol · 2 mkts · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
$1M Vol · $210.1K Liq · Ends Dec 1, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
+1 more markets
$2.6M Vol · 4 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$28M Vol · $469.2K Liq · Ends Jan 1, 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
$20.4M Vol · 3 mkts · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
$876.6K Vol · 3 mkts · Ends Dec 31, 2026